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Market Update July 2025

Hi there, and welcome to ISG’s latest Market Conditions Recap!

As your trusted partner, ISG believes in keeping you up to date with key developments across the logistics industry. Here’s a quick summary of the current rate trends, capacity shifts, and key disruptions impacting the market during the month of July 2025:

Quick market overview : https://youtu.be/4Gt9RZvNW-0

 

Canadian Domestic Market:

https://youtu.be/eSB91TVU36o

Freight volumes remain strong in retail, produce, and construction.

  • Dry Van: Spot rates up 2% from June due to e-commerce and restocking in Toronto and Vancouver. Fuel costs are starting to pressure pricing.
  • Reefer: Rates up 3–4% amid a surge in B.C. produce shipments. Equipment shortages are tightening capacity.
  • Flatbed: Spot rates up 1–2%, driven by construction in Alberta and B.C. Load-to-truck ratios rising.
  • Key Takeaway: Watch for continued fuel-driven rate increases and driver shortages, especially in Ontario, Quebec, and Western Canada.

 

Cross-Border (Canada-U.S.):

https://youtu.be/CkF6sp-X3Dk

A split market: Northbound lanes tightening, Southbound softening.

  • Dry Van:
    • Southbound: FTL rates down 2–3% with 40% drop in LA volumes.
    • Northbound: Rates up 2%; holiday imports and ELD rules constraining capacity.
  • Reefer:
    • Northbound: FTL rates up 2–3%, with LTL up 3–4%. Produce imports rising; equipment and driver shortages persist.
  • Flatbed:
    • Northbound: FTL rates up 2–3% due to steel and construction demand. Intermodal strain pushing more freight into flatbed.
  • Key Takeaway: Capacity is tightening rapidly for northbound reefer and flatbed. Southbound dry van remains soft.

 

U.S. Domestic Market:

https://youtu.be/ZlBZWaTLpqw

Peak seasonality, fuel costs, and regulation shifts are tightening capacity.

  • Dry Van: Spot rates up 3–4% post-July 4 restocking. Chicago and Texas see strong volumes. LTL up 2–3% in Southeast.
  • Reefer: Spot rates up 4–5% as produce surges. Load-to-truck ratios exceed 13. LTL rates climbing across the South.
  • Flatbed: Rates up 2–3% as hurricane prep and construction increase demand. Diesel up 30% since May, impacting rejection rates.
  • Key Takeaway: Reefer and flatbed markets are tight. Dry van demand is growing steadily—early planning is essential.

 

Looking Ahead:

https://youtu.be/jBWseSpD6Gs

Seasonal trends are pushing rates slightly higher across all markets.

  • Canada: Back-to-school restocking and produce volumes sustaining demand.
  • Cross-Border: Northbound pressure continues with holiday imports and driver shortages; southbound softening slightly.
  • U.S.: Strong demand driven by harvests, retail restocking, and hurricane recovery efforts—especially in reefer and flatbed.

Forecast: Expect moderate rate increases and tighter capacity in August. Advance booking and reliable carrier partnerships will be crucial.

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